Archives for December 2015
JP Smith, who accurately forecast the 1998 Russian stock market crash, says China is in for a bust as bad as the ’08 U.S. mortgage bust, next year. TheStreet.com provides detailed coverage, on the reasoning, state of the Yuan (the Chinese currency), and other market factors. The reason that this is interesting to us is that, if Smith is correct, the Chinese money outflows are likely to accelerate in 2016, and as we’ve reported before, that can have a big impact on the U.S. housing market.
If you’ve been reading this blog for a while, you know that I generally scoff at predictions. Few people are as accurate as Cassandra. Still, with the proper use of data, some predictions can be better than others. Mitch Lipka recently interviewed Svenja Gudell, the new Chief Economist at Zillow. There are no deep, earth-shattering predictions, but the Q&A format of the interview is nice, and it’s always good to hear what a Zillow economist is thinking — it’s definitely a different style than the typical CNBC talking head.